Tuesday, January 11, 2005

Is this a bad dream?

Life with Jim Bowden is far worse than any nightmare I've ever had. Just when he started saying things I could respect (such as, he's not going to pay big money for bad starting pitching), he gets worse.

Let's not even talk about the fact that he offered the miserable Shawn Estes $6 to $7M for 2 years. That's water under the bridge, as he's going to Arizona. No, my beef of the day is that we're in the mix for Loaiza. Everyone who is a regular reader knows that I am down on this guy, who has really only had one year that didn't totally suck (it just so happened that one year was outstanding). Paying this guy anything is overpaying him, even if it's a meager amount that gets up to the $3M range with performance-based incentive clauses. Plus, Loaiza would push someone who is better out of the rotation, though maybe only for part of the year.

Oh, and ESPN has updated their scouting reports for the new year. To see the reports on our players, start at the team roster page and click on the individual player names. Then, if you look down a bit under the stats, for most players you will see a "scouting report from STATS, Inc."


At 7:08 AM, Blogger ExpatriatedNEGuy said...


Just say no. I'm with you!

At 9:54 AM, Blogger JammingEcono said...

Before you get your panties in a bunch about Loaiza, note that the Svrluga article only quoted Loaiza's agent. No confirmation from Bowden or the ubiquitous "source close to the Nationals" that we are seriously interested or have even sent an offer (he's looking for 2 years, $7-$10M according to the L.A. Times).

While I share your doubts about Estes, $3-$4M for a serviceable lefty is the going rate in MLB any more. Take it for what you will.

At 10:05 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

not a nationals fan but Loiza is a serviceable option for a 4th or 5th starter. No, he isn't great but he isn't a bottomfeeder either. Just glancing at your current staff he'd be worth the rather low prices he is asking (depending on budgets of course).

At 10:23 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

When Bowden came on (and then immediately went crazy) I'd been quite bemoaning the loss of Minaya, who seems to have superintended the team quite well through difficult times. Hard to know what to say about Minaya now, though. Maybe it all makes sense up at Shea, but those are some dang big contracts.

-- sam

At 12:44 PM, Blogger John said...

JammingEcono, I understand your point, but we shouldn't be expressing any interest at all, based on Bowden's comments. Bowden talking to his agent before Odalis Perez and then publicly said we weren't going to go after anyone in free agency besides Perez, then it was repeated when the Perez deal fell through.

As for Anonymous #1, I have been disenchanted with his lifetime ERA that is only below 5.0 because he had one abnormal season (in 10 years he has 6 seasons above a 5.0, only two seasons below a 4.5 and only one below a 4.0). The guy is below average through and through, maybe even well below average, whereas our starting rotation as a whole posted an ERA below league average last year, despite many injuries. His 2004 ERA? 5.71. His ERA the years before his 2003 fluke? 5.71, 5.02 and 4.56, all ranging from below average to way below average.

I'd rather go with the talent we have in our organization. There have been a lot of injury risks recently, but they'll do reasonably well. And if they don't... well, we're not going to win the division this year, anyway, so why waste the money?

At 4:47 PM, Blogger tmk67 said...

The only purpose of a signing like this would be to acquire an innings-eater so you can use the bullpen more with Patterson, Day and Armas. For that purpose, I'd rather have Scott Schoenweiss or Andy Ashby, and I'd even consider Sele or Daal. All of them look to be cheaper than Loaiza for essentially the same purpose.

At 4:53 PM, Blogger John said...

Actually, Loaiza might end up being reasonably valuable in relief. He seems to manage well once through the order, and then get hammered after that. I suppose I might consider investing $6M to put him in a slot like that (considering we should be a reasonably high-revenue team), but I wouldn't give him a chance to start.


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